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CAI PEGS ITS LATEST COTTON PRESSING ESTIMATE FOR 2024-25 SEASON AT 311.40 LAKH BALES

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Cotton Association of India (CAI) has released its latest estimate of the cotton pressing numbers for 2024-25 season, which began on 1st October 2024. Based on input received from the members of 11 cotton growing state associations and other trade sources, the Association has estimated cotton pressing numbers for 2024-25 season at 311.40 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 326.78 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) as against its previous estimate of 301.15 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 316.02 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each). The State-wise break-up of the Cotton pressing numbers as well as Balance Sheet for the season with the corresponding data for the previous crop year are enclosed. 

The total cotton supply till end of June 2025 is estimated at 356.76 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 374.38 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) which consists of the pressings of 296.57 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 311.22 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each), imports of 30.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 31.48 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) and the opening stock estimated by the CAI at 30.19 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 31.68 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) at the beginning of the season.

Further, the CAI has estimated cotton consumption upto the end of June 2025 at 233.50 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 245.03 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) while the export shipments upto 30th June 2025 are estimated by the CAI at 15.25 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 16.00 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each). Stock at the end of June 2025 is estimated at 108.01 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 113.34 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) including 32.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 33.58 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) with textile mills and the remaining 76.01 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 79.76 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) with CCI, Maharashtra Federation and others (MNCs, traders, ginners, exporters, etc.) including cotton sold but not delivered.

The CAI has estimated its total cotton supply till end of the cotton season 2024-25 (i.e. upto 30th September 2025) at 380.59 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 399.38 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) as against 370.34 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 388.63 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) estimated previously. The total cotton supply consists of the opening stock of 30.19 lakh bales at the beginning of 2024-25 season on 1st October 2024, cotton pressing numbers estimated for the season at 311.40 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each and imports for the season estimated at 39.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 40.93 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) as against 15.20 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 15.95 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) estimated for 2023-24 season.  

The CAI has however increased its domestic consumption estimate to 308.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 323.21 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) as against 305.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 320.06 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) estimated previously. The exports for the season 2024-25 are estimated at the same level as estimated previously i.e. at 17.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 17.84 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) as against 28.36 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 29.76 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) estimated for 2023-24 season.  

SALIENT FEATURES OF THE CAI CROP COMMITTEE MEETING HELD ON 10TH JULY 2025

The Crop Committee of the Cotton Association of India (CAI) held its meeting on Thursday, the 10th July 2025 virtually, which was attended by 22 members representing various cotton growing regions of the country.   Based on the input given by the representatives of each state association, the CAI Crop Committee has estimated total cotton pressing numbers for 2024-25 season and has also drawn cotton balance sheet for 2024-25 season.

The following are the salient features of the CAI crop report: -

    1.    CONSUMPTION

The CAI has increased its cotton consumption estimate for 2024-25 season by 3.00 lakh bales to 308.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 323.21 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) from 305.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each estimated previously.

Upto 30th June 2025, the consumption is estimated at 233.50 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 245.03 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each).

   2.   COTTON PRESSING

As per the latest report submitted by upcountry associations and trade sources at the meeting of the CAI Crop Committee, total cotton pressing numbers for 2024-25 season are estimated at 311.40 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 326.78 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) which are 10.25 lakh bales more than the CAI’s previous estimate of 301.15 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 316.02 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each). The state-wise break up of increase in the pressing estimate is made at the meeting is given below: -

(In lakh bales of 170 kgs. each)
   
States Increase 
Haryana 0.25
Upper Rajasthan 0.25
Lower Rajasthan 0.25
Gujarat 1.50
Maharashtra 5.00
Telangana 1.50
Andhra Pradesh 0.50
Karnataka 1.00
TOTAL 10.25

 

The Committee members will review the cotton pressing numbers in the subsequent months and if any addition or reduction is required to be made in the pressing numbers, the same will be made in the CAI report.

        3. IMPORTS

The cotton imports for the 2024-25 season are maintained at 39.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 40.93 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) i.e. at the same level as estimated previously. The cotton imports estimated by the CAI for the season are higher by 23.80 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each than 15.20 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each estimated for the last year. 

Upto 30th June 2025, about 30.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 31.48 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) are estimated to have arrived the Indian Ports.

​​​4. ​EXPORTS

The CAI has maintained its cotton exports for the 2024-25 season at 17.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 17.84 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) i.e. at the same level as estimated previously. The cotton exports for 2024-25 crop year are estimated to be lower by 11.36 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each than 28.36 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 29.76 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) estimated for the last season.

5. CLOSING STOCK AS AT 30TH SEPTEMBER 2025

The closing stock at the end of 2024-25 season on 30th September 2025 is estimated at 55.59 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 58.34 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) as against 30.19 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 31.68 lakh running bales of 162 kgs. each) in last year.  

 

Mumbai (Atul S. Ganatra)
Date: 11th July 2025   President