Source: Press Release

 CAI MAINTAINS COTTON CROP FOR THE 2017-18 CROP YEAR AT 365 LAKH BALES; ESTIMATED COTTON ARRIVALS UPTO JULY END CONSTITUTE ABOUT 97% OF THE TOTAL CROP

 

Cotton Association of India (CAI) has released its July estimate of the cotton crop for the season 2017-18 beginning from 1st October 2017. The CAI has maintained its cotton crop estimate for the ongoing crop year 2017-18 at 365 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each i.e. at the same level as in the estimates made by it during the last two months. The CAI has, however, revised the State-wise crop estimate for the North Zone compared to the estimate made during the last month, based on the arrival figures upto 31st July 2018 reported by the respective States.  In Punjab and Haryana, the crop estimates for the Season have been reduced by 2 lakh bales and 50,000 bales respectively compared to the estimate made during the last month.  However, the crop estimates for Upper Rajasthan and Lower Rajasthan have been increased by 1.00 lakh bales and 1.50 lakh bales respectively compared to the last month based on the arrival figures. Statements containing the state-wise estimate of the cotton crop and the Balance Sheet for the crop year 2017-18 with the corresponding data for the previous year are enclosed.

The CAI has projected total cotton supply upto 31st July 2018 at 400.45 lakh bales which consists the arrival of 353.45 lakh bales upto 31st July 2018, imports the Committee has estimated at 11 lakh bales and the opening stock of 36 lakh bales at the beginning of the season as on 1st October 2017.  Further, the Committee has estimated cotton consumption for 10 months i.e. from October 2017 to July 2018 at 270 lakh bales @ 27 lakh bales per month while the shipment of cotton till 31st July 2018 has been estimated at 67 lakh bales.  The stock at the end of July 2018 is estimated at 63.45 lakh bales including 42.65 lakh bales with textile mills while the remaining 20.80 lakh bales are estimated to be held by CCI and others (MNCs, traders, ginners, etc.).

The projected yearly Balance Sheet for the Season 2017-18 drawn by the CAI has estimated total cotton supply till end of the season i.e. upto 30th September 2018 at 416 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each which includes opening stock of 36 lakh bales at the beginning of the season. The CAI has estimated domestic consumption for the season at 324 lakh bales while the exports are estimated to be 70 lakh bales. The carry-over stock at the end of the 2017-18 season is estimated by the CAI at 22 lakh bales.

  (Atul S. Ganatra)
Mumbai President
Date: 7th August 2018  

 

 

 

COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
INDIAN COTTON CROP ESTIMATE FOR THE SEASON 2016-17 AND 2017-18     
Estimated as on 31st July 2018
State           Arrivals As on         31st July 2018
2017-18 2016-17 2017-18
    Total      Total  Total 
Pressed (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) Loose  (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in’000 Tons) Pressed (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) Loose  (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in’000 Tons) (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in’000 Tons)
Punjab 6.50 2.50 9.00 153.00 6.25 2.50 8.75 148.75 8.75 148.75
Haryana 20.50 3.00 23.50 399.50 17.50 3.00 20.50 348.50 22.25 378.25
Upper Rajasthan 10.45 0.55 11.00 187.00 6.70 0.55 7.25 123.25 10.85 184.45
Lower Rajasthan 11.95 0.55 12.50 212.50 8.70 0.55 9.25 157.25 12.10 205.70
Total North Zone 49.40 6.60 56.00 952.00 39.15 6.60 45.75 777.75 53.95 917.15
                     
Gujarat 104.80 3.20 108.00 1836.00 85.80 3.20 89.00 1513.00 103.00 1751.00
Maharashtra 76.25 5.75 82.00 1394.00 82.25 5.75 88.00 1496.00 81.75 1389.75
Madhya Pradesh 20.55 0.70 21.25 361.25 19.80 0.70 20.50 348.50 20.75 352.75
Total Central Zone 201.60 9.65 211.25 3591.25 187.85 9.65 197.50 3357.50 205.50 3493.50
                     
Telangana 50.90 0.60 51.50 875.50 47.40 0.60 48.00 816.00 50.50 858.50
Andhra Pradesh 12.60 5.90 18.50 314.50 12.60 5.90 18.50 314.50 18.00 306.00
Karnataka 17.40 1.10 18.50 314.50 15.90 1.10 17.00 289.00 18.00 306.00
Tamil Nadu 3.05 2.20 5.25 89.25 3.30 2.20 5.50 93.50 3.50 59.50
Total South Zone 83.95 9.80 93.75 1593.75 79.20 9.80 89.00 1513.00 90.00 1530.00
                     
Orissa 3.35 0.05 3.40 57.80 2.95 0.05 3.00 51.00 3.40 57.80
Others 0.60  -   0.60 10.20 2.00  -   2.00 34.00 0.60 10.20
                     
Grand Total 338.90 26.10 365.00 6205.00 311.15 26.10 337.25 5733.25 353.45 6008.65

 

 

 
COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
INDIAN COTTON BALANCE SHEET FOR THE SEASON 2016-17 AND 2017-18
Estimated as on 31st July 2018
 
Details 2017-18 2016-17
(in lakh b/s) (in’000 Tons) (in lakh b/s) (in’000 Tons)
Supply        
  Opening Stock  36.00  612.00  36.50  620.50
  Crop  365.00  6205.00  337.25  5733.25
  Imports  15.00  255.00  30.94  525.98
Total Supply  416.00  7072.00  404.69  6879.73
Demand        
  Mill Consumption  280.00  4760.00  262.70  4465.90
  Consumption by SSI Units  29.00  493.00  26.21  445.57
  Non- Mill Consumption  15.00  255.00  21.50  365.50
Total  Domestic Demand  324.00  5508.00  310.41  5276.97
   Available Surplus  92.00  1564.00  94.28  1602.76
   Exports  70.00  1190.00  58.21  989.57
 Closing Stock  22.00  374.00  36.07  613.19

 

 

COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
Balance Sheet of 10 months i.e. from 1.10.2017 to 31.07.2018
for the season 2017-18
   
 Details (in lakh b/s of 170 kg) (in '000 Tons)
     
 Opening Stock as on 01.10.2017 36.00 612.00
 Arrivals upto 31.07.2018 353.45 6008.65
 Imports upto 31.07.2018 11.00 187.00
 Total Available 400.45 6807.65
     
 Consumption (27 Lakhs X 10 months) 270.00 4590.00
 Export Shipment upto 31.07.2018 67.00 1139.00
 Stock with Mills 42.65 725.05
 Stock with CCI, MNCs & Ginners 20.80 353.60
 Total 400.45 6807.65

 

 

AS PER COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
STOCK ON 31.07.2018
    (Figures in lakh bales of  170 kg.)
STATE GINNERS MNC CCI TOTAL
 NORTH 0.40 2.15 NIL 2.55
 GUJARAT 3.00 2.00 0.10 5.10
 MAHARASHTRA 2.50 2.50 0.10 5.10
 ANDHRA PRADESH 0.25 1.00 0.15 1.40
 TELANGANA 1.25 2.50 0.8 4.55
 MADHYA PRADESH 0.85 0.15 NIL 1.00
 ORISSA 0.20 0.20 0.10 0.50
 KARNATAKA 0.20 0.30 0.10 0.60
 TOTAL 8.65 10.80 1.35 20.80