Source: PRESS RELEASE
     

 CAI ESTIMATES COTTON CROP FOR 2021-22 SEASON AT 360.13 LAKH BALES​

 

 

 

Cotton Association of India (CAI) has released its first estimate of the cotton crop for the new season 2021-22 beginning from 1st October 2021.

CAI has estimated cotton crop for the 2021-22 crop year at 360.13 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each, which is equivalent to 382.64 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each. State-wise break up of cotton production and Balance Sheet for the Season with the corresponding data for the previous cotton season are enclosed.

This is a preliminary estimate and the Crop Committee of the CAI will re-assess the crop as the Season progresses.

The crop estimated for the 2021-22 season is more by 7.13 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 7.58 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each) than the previous year’s crop of 353.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 375.06 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each).

The state-wise loose cotton production figures have been adopted as per the Report of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel International School of Textile Management on Survey of Loose Cotton Production & Consumption in India. As per this Survey Report, the loose cotton production figures for the 2020-21 crop year were less by 25% at 5.45 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each since the said crop year was a pandemic year).

Yearly Balance Sheet projected by the CAI Crop Committee estimated total cotton supply till end of the 2021-22 Season i.e. upto 30th September 2022 at 445.13 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (i.e. 472.95 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each), which consists of the opening stock of 75.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 79.69 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each) at the beginning of the Season, crop for the Season estimated at 360.13 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 382.64 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each) and imports for the Season estimated at the same level as in the last year i.e. at 10 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 10.63 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each).

Domestic consumption for the 2021-22 crop year is estimated by the CAI at the same level as in the last year i.e. at 335.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 355.94 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each). The exports of cotton season 2021-22 estimated by the CAI are 48.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 51.00 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each) as against 78 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 82.88 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each) estimated for 2020-21.

The carry over stock estimated at the end of the Season on 30th September 2022 is 62.13 lakh bales of 170 kgs each (equivalent to 66.01 lakh running bales of 160 kgs each).

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HIGHLIGHTS OF THE DELIBERATIONS HELD AT THE VIRTUAL MEETING OF THE CROP COMMITTEE OF COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA ON 29TH OCTOBER 2021

Crop Committee of Cotton Association of India (CAI) held its meeting on 29th October 2021 by video conferencing. In all, 25 members across all segments of the cotton value chain in India participated in this meeting.

Based on the data available from various trade sources, upcountry associations and other stakeholders, the Committee has arrived at the first estimate of the cotton crop for the Season 2021-22 beginning from 1st October 2021 and drew estimated cotton balance sheet. The imports and exports estimates for the Season have been arrived at based on the input received from MNCs and major import-export houses.

The following are the highlights of deliberations of the Crop Committee of the CAI: -

1. CONSUMPTION

The yearly consumption estimated by the CAI for the current crop year 2021-22 is 335 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 355.94 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each), which is the same as in the last year.

 

 2. PRODUCTION

The cotton crop for the season 2021-22 has been estimated by the CAI at 360.13 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 382.64 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each), which is more by 7.13 lakh bales than the previous year’s crop estimate of 353.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 375.06 lakh running bales of 160 kgs each.

 

3. IMPORTS

The CAI has estimated cotton imports for the 2021-22 season at the same level of 10 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 10.63 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each) as estimated by it for the last year. 

 

4. EXPORTS

The cotton exports for the 2021-22 season have been estimated by the CAI at 48.00 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 51 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each based on the input received from exporter-members. This export-estimate for the 2021-22 season is lower by 30 lakh bales compared to 78 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 82.88 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each).


5. CLOSING STOCK AS ON 30TH SEPTEMBER 2022

 Closing stock as on 30th September 2022 estimated by the Committee is 62.13 lakh bales of 170 kgs. each (equivalent to 66.01 lakh running bales of 160 kgs. each).

 

Mumbai  Atul S. Ganatra
Date: 30th October 2021 President   
   

                                                                                                             

                                                                                      

 

                           

COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
INDIAN COTTON CROP ESTIMATE FOR THE SEASON 2020-21AND 2021-22   
Estimated as on 30th September 2021
 
State  
2021-22 2020-21
      Total        Total 
(in running b/s of 160 kgs. each) Pressed (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) Loose  (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) * (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in’000 Tons) (in running b/s of 160 kgs. each) Pressed (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) Loose  (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in lakh b/s of 170 kgs each) (in’000 Tons)
Punjab 10.70 9.87 0.20 10.07 171.19 11.16 10.35 0.15 10.50 178.50
Haryana 17.64 16.12 0.48 16.60 282.20 23.91 22.14 0.36 22.50 382.50
Upper Rajasthan 15.50 14.26 0.33 14.59 248.03 20.72 19.25 0.25 19.50 331.50
Lower Rajasthan 12.84 11.75 0.33 12.08 205.36 13.81 12.76 0.24 13.00 221.00
Total North Zone 56.67 52.00 1.34 53.34 906.78 69.59 64.50 1.00 65.50 1113.50
                     
Gujarat 103.05 95.00 1.99 96.99 1648.83 97.22 90.01 1.49 91.50 1555.50
Maharashtra 91.86 85.00 1.46 86.46 1469.82 86.06 79.91 1.09 81.00 1377.00
Madhya Pradesh 21.78 20.00 0.50 20.50 348.50 19.66 18.12 0.38 18.50 314.50
Total Central Zone 216.70 200.00 3.95 203.95 3467.15 202.94 188.04 2.96 191.00 3247.00
                     
Telangana 48.78 45.00 0.91 45.91 780.47 46.75 43.31 0.69 44.00 748.00
Andhra Pradesh 15.19 14.00 0.30 14.30 243.10 17.00 15.77 0.23 16.00 272.00
Karnataka 27.15 25.00 0.55 25.55 434.35 25.50 23.59 0.41 24.00 408.00
Tamil Nadu 10.63 9.86 0.14 10.00 170.00 7.97 7.40 0.10 7.50 127.50
Total South Zone 101.75 93.86 1.90 95.76 1627.92 97.22 90.07 1.43 91.50 1555.50
                     
Orissa 4.34 4.00            0.08 4.08 69.36 3.19 2.94             0.06 3.00 51.00
Others 3.19 3.00               -   3.00 51.00 2.13 2.00                -   2.00 34.00
                     
Grand Total 382.64 352.86 7.27 360.13 6122.21 375.06 347.55 5.45 353.00 6001.00
* Loose cotton production figures are as per the survey report of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel International School of Textiles and Management for a non-covid year.

 

COTTON ASSOCIATION OF INDIA
INDIAN COTTON BALANCE SHEET FOR THE SEASON 2020-21 AND 2021-22
Estimated as on 30th September 2021
 
Details 2021-22 2020-21
(in lakh b/s) (in’000 Tons) (in lakh b/s) (in’000 Tons)
Supply        
   Opening Stock 75.00 1275.00 *125.00  2125.00
   Crop 360.13 6122.21 353.00 6001.00
    Imports 10.00 170.00 10.00 170.00
Total Supply 445.13 7567.21 488.00 8296.00
Demand        
   Mill Consumption 292.00 4964.00 292.00 4964.00
   Consumption by SSI Units 25.00 425.00 25.00 425.00
   Non- Mill Consumption 18.00 306.00 18.00 306.00
Total  Domestic Demand 335.00 5695.00 335.00 5695.00
   Available Surplus 110.13 1872.21 153.00 2601.00
   Exports 48.00 816.00 78.00 1326.00
Closing Stock               62.13 1056.21              75.00 1275.00
* One time adjustment of 17.50 lakh bales made in the Opening stock i.e. 107.50 lakh bales to 125.00 lakh bales  by the CAI Statistics Committee in the meeting held on 6th January 2021.


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